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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Trevor Larnach

Trevor Larnach

OF·MIN
Compare
Compare
PA
401
H
92
HR
15
AVG
.258
xwOBA
.345
PPG
1.99
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202657202.249.356.370.121.32020.3%12.9%7.4%321001.75—
2025145567.250
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

401 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
69
.345
xBA
58
.254
.327
.404
.154
.318
21.5%
9.3%
12.2%
17
4
272
1.88
—
2024112401.258.338.433.175.34522.2%10.0%12.2%1542231.99—
202363212.213.314.415.202.32734.0%12.7%21.3%811171.86—
202258181.230.307.404.174.33131.5%9.9%21.6%50851.47—
202186301.223.324.350.127.30834.6%10.3%24.3%71981.14—
xSLG
67
.463
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
85
92.0
Median EV
60
93.0
90th % EV
73
106.8
Barrel %
60
10.1
Hard-Hit %
65
45.1
Sweet-Spot %
73
37.7
Bat Speed
Avg
65
71.1
Median
63
72.3
90th %
65
77.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
65
25.7
Whiff %
29
25.9
K %
40
22.2
BB %
69
10.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
92
≈ 20th pctl
Chase cost
-27.3r
224 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-16.8r
242 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
44.1%
1,576 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.79
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
5+0%9+20%15+5%21+0%9+0%12+0%8+50%14+30%30+7%41-7%46+3%36+10%29+0%16+31%29+0%46-39%71-31%58-20%51+12%25+22%9+51%39+7%42-38%45-30%56-41%34+31%13+23%13+8%12+15%13+0%15+29%14+29%74124121CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000