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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Trevor Larnach

Trevor Larnach

OF·MIN
Compare
Compare
PA
567
H
126
HR
17
AVG
.250
xwOBA
.318
PPG
1.88
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202655191.258.366.387.129.32219.9%13.6%6.3%321011.84—
2025145567.250
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
26
.318
xBA
46
.253
xSLG
.327
.404
.154
.318
21.5%
9.3%
12.2%
17
4
272
1.88
—
2024112401.258.338.433.175.34522.2%10.0%12.2%1542231.99—
202363212.213.314.415.202.32734.0%12.7%21.3%811171.86—
202258181.230.307.404.174.33131.5%9.9%21.6%50851.47—
202186301.223.324.350.127.30834.6%10.3%24.3%71981.14—
24
.405
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
66
90.9
Median EV
45
93.0
90th % EV
61
106.4
Barrel %
26
7.2
Hard-Hit %
54
45.7
Sweet-Spot %
55
36.4
Bat Speed
Avg
45
70.2
Median
44
71.8
90th %
52
77.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
45
27.5
Whiff %
20
27.0
K %
43
21.5
BB %
57
9.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
91
≈ 18th pctl
Chase cost
-39.5r
376 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-24.4r
363 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
44.8%
2,230 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.86
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
3+10%10+46%13+11%9+0%6+0%123+13%8+32%31+28%39-3%35+10%30+5%20+0%6+57%35+19%48-42%64-41%81-23%44+33%27+14%14+36%25+0%55-34%53-21%56-24%38+17%18+60%10+7%15+28%18+9%23-18%17+14%14+33%6+17%63554CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000