Trevor Rogers
SP · BAL
MLBAM 669432
Seasons
| Yr | BF | K% | BB% | xwOBA | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 99 | 20.2% | 6.1% | 0.253 | 50 | 12.50 |
| 2025 | 423 | 24.3% | 6.9% | 0.288 | 324 | 18.00 |
| 2024 | 562 | 17.3% | 10.0% | 0.351 | 93 | 3.72 |
| 2023 | 79 | 24.1% | 7.6% | 0.308 | 45 | 9.00 |
| 2022 | 477 | 22.2% | 9.4% | 0.342 | 126 | 4.85 |
| 2021 | 550 | 28.5% | 8.4% | 0.287 | 365 | 13.04 |
| 2020 | 130 | 30.0% | 10.0% | 0.289 | 33 | 4.13 |
2026 MLB Percentile Rankings
Arsenal
FB Velocity
9
90.6
FB Spin
74
2376
Extension
65
6.64
Results
xwOBA
91
0.253
Barrel %
90
2.8
Hard-Hit %
97
28.2
K %
37
20.2
BB %
81
6.1
Chase %
82
32.9
Whiff %
73
26.2
Command & Stuff
Pitching+
Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.
Pitching+
104
≈ 64th pctl
Stuff+
95
if they swing
Command+
103
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
98
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
10.5%
48 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.042
RV per pitch · league 0.042
+0.000 worse than avg · 139 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.004
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.025 better than avg · 25 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 458 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)
MLB Avg.
| FF | CH | FC | SI | ST | CU | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Usage | 44% | 22% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 2% |
| MPH | 92.7 | 86.6 | 81.4 | 92.3 | 77.8 | 77.5 |
| LHP Avg | 93.2 | 84.6 | 88.1 | 93.0 | 81.0 | 79.0 |
2026 Tunneling
Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.
At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FFCHFCSISTCU
Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. LHP.
2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin
Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.
Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. LHP.