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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Trevor Story

Trevor Story

SS·BOS
Compare
Compare
PA
655
H
161
HR
25
AVG
.263
xwOBA
.312
PPG
2.19
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202641176.206.247.303.097.24832.4%4.5%27.9%34411.00—
2025162655.263
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
18
.312
xBA
31
.242
xSLG
.308
.432
.169
.312
26.9%
5.0%
21.9%
25
32
355
2.19
—
202431106.255.340.394.139.26831.1%10.4%20.7%27571.84—
202341168.203.250.316.113.26532.7%5.4%27.3%310411.00—
202299396.238.306.434.196.31230.8%8.1%22.7%16131992.01—
2021149596.250.332.471.221.33723.3%8.9%14.4%24203592.41—
202061260.288.354.517.229.33724.2%9.2%15.0%11151702.79—
2019151659.293.363.552.259.34126.4%8.8%17.6%35234372.89—
2018168659.290.348.564.274.36025.5%7.1%18.4%37284532.70—
2017155557.238.308.455.217.30334.3%8.8%25.5%2492691.74—
33
.415
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
76
91.3
Median EV
74
94.2
90th % EV
61
106.4
Barrel %
51
9.8
Hard-Hit %
67
47.0
Sweet-Spot %
18
33.8
Bat Speed
Avg
39
69.8
Median
27
70.5
90th %
30
75.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
12
35.3
Whiff %
20
27.2
K %
9
26.9
BB %
7
5.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
91
≈ 18th pctl
Chase cost
-53.5r
520 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-18.0r
322 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
54.5%
2,498 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.86
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
131+50%6232+50%8+40%15+12%17+15%20+40%15+25%12+33%6+54%24-16%25-27%55-33%57-17%64+40%30+42%12+63%16+9%47-35%54-19%85-21%62+56%32+8%12+42%26+67%36+12%49+0%32+27%15+43%72+17%12+50%10+20%155221CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000