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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Trey Mancini

Trey Mancini

1B·LAA
Compare
Compare
PA
265
H
55
HR
4
AVG
.232
xwOBA
.279
PPG
1.04
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202624.750.750.750.000.4230.0%0.0%0.0%0052.50—
202384265.232
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

265 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
0
.279
xBA
0
.209
.300
.333
.101
.279
29.4%
7.9%
21.5%
4
0
87
1.04
—
2022161589.238.320.390.152.33722.9%9.0%13.9%1802481.54—
2021154618.254.326.430.176.34423.1%8.3%14.8%2103142.04—
2019159680.290.366.534.244.36421.0%9.3%11.7%3514592.89—
2018159637.242.301.415.173.33024.0%6.9%17.1%2402771.74—
2017156588.292.339.486.194.34023.6%5.6%18.0%2413262.09—
2016715.357.4001.071.714.61426.7%0.0%26.7%30233.29—
xSLG
1
.330
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
38
88.9
Median EV
50
92.3
90th % EV
27
104.0
Barrel %
7
3.8
Hard-Hit %
41
40.6
Sweet-Spot %
26
33.8
Bat Speed
Avg
66
71.3
Median
59
72.0
90th %
37
75.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
28
31.3
Whiff %
11
29.6
K %
5
29.4
BB %
36
7.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
96
≈ 36th pctl
Chase cost
-19.6r
194 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-8.4r
139 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
49.5%
1,050 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.67
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
2+38%8+50%64+13%842+15%13+61%18+12%25+31%26+63%24+41%173+44%18+8%53-19%63-20%46-30%50+52%21+27%11+38%29+7%54-18%57-33%63-29%42+30%23+13%8+22%18+16%32+2%49-22%27+35%34+18%115+11%9+9%11+22%9+0%7+0%612CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000