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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Triston Casas

Triston Casas

1B·BOS
Compare
Compare
PA
502
H
113
HR
24
AVG
.263
xwOBA
.372
PPG
2.20
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202533112.182.277.303.121.31224.1%9.8%14.3%30331.00—
202466244.239
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

502 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
85
.372
xBA
36
.249
.336
.460
.221
.335
31.6%
12.3%
19.3%
13
0
119
1.80
—
2023137502.263.368.490.227.37225.1%13.9%11.2%2403012.20—
20223096.195.354.403.208.33324.0%19.8%4.2%51511.70—
xSLG
82
.502
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
72
91.1
Median EV
68
93.5
90th % EV
84
107.8
Barrel %
84
13.1
Hard-Hit %
72
46.6
Sweet-Spot %
76
38.0
Bat Speed
Avg
88
73.9
Median
93
75.6
90th %
91
80.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
84
22.1
Whiff %
29
25.3
K %
19
25.1
BB %
91
13.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
107
≈ 77th pctl
Chase cost
-29.2r
307 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-17.9r
277 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
43.7%
2,080 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.27
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
+14%7+0%6+0%16+17%6+0%14+0%7+0%7+0%15+11%35+13%40-4%45+26%34+7%29+0%7+30%30+0%48-25%48-18%80-23%52+12%34+33%9+16%31+13%39-37%60-30%40-13%38+42%122+23%13+33%21+0%22+24%25+45%11+57%73453432CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000