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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Triston Casas

Triston Casas

1B·BOS
Compare
Compare
PA
244
H
51
HR
13
AVG
.239
xwOBA
.335
PPG
1.80
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202533112.182.277.303.121.31224.1%9.8%14.3%30331.00—
202466244.239
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

244 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
50
.335
xBA
5
.219
.336
.460
.221
.335
31.6%
12.3%
19.3%
13
0
119
1.80
—
2023137502.263.368.490.227.37225.1%13.9%11.2%2403012.20—
20223096.195.354.403.208.33324.0%19.8%4.2%51511.70—
xSLG
57
.450
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
60
90.2
Median EV
56
92.8
90th % EV
65
106.0
Barrel %
85
13.3
Hard-Hit %
65
45.2
Sweet-Spot %
80
38.5
Bat Speed
Avg
79
72.4
Median
85
74.5
90th %
82
79.3
Plate Discipline
Chase %
85
23.1
Whiff %
6
31.1
K %
1
31.6
BB %
96
12.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
96
≈ 36th pctl
Chase cost
-15.0r
148 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-12.0r
165 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
44.3%
1,021 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.64
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
3+18%17+0%9+6%18555+8%13+30%27+8%37+7%40+24%34+25%20+0%7+19%26-4%49-37%84-28%61-25%55+24%29+60%10+21%29-9%47-37%51-26%47-13%30+32%25+29%7+18%11+24%17+11%19-5%22+8%12+44%924+0%65533CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000