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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #49 of 234

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150+200Tyler Freeman
Tyler Freeman · #49
V⁻ 7VORP 29V⁺ 37
Tyler Freeman

Tyler Freeman

OF·COL
Compare
Compare
PA
165
H
39
HR
3
AVG
.273
xwOBA
.330
PPG
2.17
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj62267.276.348.389.112.33412.7%7.2%5.5%4101502.43—
202642165.273
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

165 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
46
.330
xBA
76
.277
.354
.371
.098
.330
11.5%
4.8%
6.7%
3
5
91
2.17
—
2025111428.281.358.361.080.32511.9%7.9%4.0%2192392.15—
2024116384.208.307.320.112.30813.8%7.3%6.5%7101971.70—
202355169.240.295.364.124.31717.8%5.9%11.9%45761.38—
20222386.247.318.286.039.27412.8%4.7%8.1%01321.39—
xSLG
17
.371
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
1
84.1
Median EV
13
88.6
90th % EV
17
101.9
Barrel %
4
1.6
Hard-Hit %
17
33.6
Sweet-Spot %
62
37.5
Bat Speed
Avg
22
68.3
Median
22
69.5
90th %
28
74.8
Plate Discipline
Chase %
72
25.8
Whiff %
96
10.0
K %
93
11.5
BB %
8
4.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
105
≈ 71th pctl
Chase cost
-2.1r
23 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-0.9r
18 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
47.0%
132 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.30
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
121413344111-33%6-29%7-11%9531+0%6-31%13-14%7521+43%7+43%7-17%6511123CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 132