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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Tyler Freeman

Tyler Freeman

OF·COL
Compare
Compare
PA
428
H
106
HR
2
AVG
.281
xwOBA
.325
PPG
2.15
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202642165.273.354.371.098.33011.5%4.8%6.7%35912.17—
2025111428.281
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

428 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
38
.325
xBA
85
.277
.358
.361
.080
.325
11.9%
7.9%
4.0%
2
19
239
2.15
—
2024116384.208.307.320.112.30813.8%7.3%6.5%7101971.70—
202355169.240.295.364.124.31717.8%5.9%11.9%45761.38—
20222386.247.318.286.039.27412.8%4.7%8.1%01321.39—
xSLG
9
.368
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
26
88.7
Median EV
29
91.9
90th % EV
25
103.8
Barrel %
2
2.1
Hard-Hit %
27
40.4
Sweet-Spot %
12
32.5
Bat Speed
Avg
35
69.5
Median
38
71.0
90th %
34
75.8
Plate Discipline
Chase %
65
24.9
Whiff %
95
11.4
K %
93
11.9
BB %
39
7.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
108
≈ 78th pctl
Chase cost
-23.7r
238 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-13.0r
257 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
45.6%
1,640 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.24
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
32+17%6+17%6+17%631+25%12+27%11+21%24+10%20+19%26+17%124+43%7-26%34-31%61-21%66-24%55+38%26+8%13+31%29-4%46-33%84-26%54-23%47+35%23+11%9+35%17+31%45+26%47+19%37+5%21+11%94+0%10+36%14+0%8+25%8+0%621CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000