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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Tyler Nevin

Tyler Nevin

1B·FA
Compare
Compare
PA
278
H
50
HR
7
AVG
.204
xwOBA
.304
PPG
1.02
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202490278.204.291.331.127.30423.0%9.0%14.0%71921.02—
202340111.200
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

278 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
10
.304
xBA
5
.219
.309
.316
.116
.308
22.5%
10.8%
11.7%
2
0
40
1.00
—
202265184.197.304.261.064.29425.0%10.9%14.1%20681.05—
20211318.286.444.643.357.33627.8%22.2%5.6%10231.77—
xSLG
18
.389
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
55
89.8
Median EV
54
92.6
90th % EV
21
102.8
Barrel %
48
8.7
Hard-Hit %
44
40.8
Sweet-Spot %
73
37.5
Bat Speed
Avg
8
66.4
Median
10
67.9
90th %
10
73.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
65
25.7
Whiff %
47
22.6
K %
38
23.0
BB %
54
9.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
113
≈ 91th pctl
Chase cost
-15.9r
162 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-7.3r
144 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
47.2%
1,099 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.10
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
1144+0%72+31%13+27%15+16%25+30%20+44%25+27%11+0%7+47%15-20%46-31%64-17%53-13%46+20%20+15%13+50%38+14%51-29%52-14%69-37%41+21%19+17%6+29%21+30%27+2%51+9%44+4%27+14%73+11%9+7%15+0%19-11%9+0%742CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000