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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Tyler O'Neill

Tyler O'Neill

OF·BAL
Compare
Compare
PA
266
H
55
HR
9
AVG
.231
xwOBA
.335
PPG
1.49
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202640120.162.267.229.067.26225.0%10.8%14.2%21340.85—
202557209.199
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

266 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
46
.335
xBA
19
.240
.296
.392
.193
.363
24.4%
10.5%
13.9%
9
4
99
1.74
—
2024117474.240.337.510.270.34533.5%11.2%22.3%3142612.23—
202373266.231.312.403.172.33525.2%10.5%14.7%951091.49—
2022103383.228.314.392.164.33226.9%9.9%17.0%14142082.02—
2021143537.286.355.560.274.38731.3%7.1%24.2%34183392.37—
202048157.173.263.360.187.28627.4%9.6%17.8%73691.44—
201962151.262.311.411.149.27635.1%6.6%28.5%51590.95—
201855142.254.307.500.246.31540.1%4.9%35.2%91701.27—
xSLG
55
.450
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
41
89.2
Median EV
56
92.7
90th % EV
60
106.0
Barrel %
78
12.3
Hard-Hit %
60
43.3
Sweet-Spot %
7
31.0
Bat Speed
Avg
61
71.0
Median
53
71.8
90th %
58
77.1
Plate Discipline
Chase %
68
25.5
Whiff %
31
25.0
K %
19
25.2
BB %
72
10.5
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
109
≈ 81th pctl
Chase cost
-16.1r
166 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-7.7r
138 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
45.0%
1,070 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.22
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
15+22%95311+20%10+11%18+26%27+13%24+39%23+11%95+50%14+3%30-19%64-20%49-18%45+31%32+0%7+40%25+0%47-33%67-31%59-19%48+11%19+0%6+35%23+24%38+15%60+11%38+20%20+0%184+6%16+0%8+15%13+0%10+0%753CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000