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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Tyler O'Neill

Tyler O'Neill

OF·BAL
Compare
Compare
PA
474
H
99
HR
31
AVG
.240
xwOBA
.345
PPG
2.23
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202642133.188.286.274.086.27426.3%10.5%15.8%21370.88—
202557209.199
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

474 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
69
.345
xBA
2
.207
.296
.392
.193
.363
24.4%
10.5%
13.9%
9
4
99
1.74
—
2024117474.240.337.510.270.34533.5%11.2%22.3%3142612.23—
202373266.231.312.403.172.33525.2%10.5%14.7%951091.49—
2022103383.228.314.392.164.33226.9%9.9%17.0%14142082.02—
2021143537.286.355.560.274.38731.3%7.1%24.2%34183392.37—
202048157.173.263.360.187.28627.4%9.6%17.8%73691.44—
201962151.262.311.411.149.27635.1%6.6%28.5%51590.95—
201855142.254.307.500.246.31540.1%4.9%35.2%91701.27—
xSLG
82
.483
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
70
90.9
Median EV
85
94.5
90th % EV
78
107.2
Barrel %
98
17.3
Hard-Hit %
85
48.8
Sweet-Spot %
52
35.8
Bat Speed
Avg
91
73.8
Median
87
74.7
90th %
82
79.3
Plate Discipline
Chase %
60
26.2
Whiff %
2
32.3
K %
1
33.5
BB %
86
11.2
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
98
≈ 43th pctl
Chase cost
-35.5r
342 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-16.7r
285 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
44.5%
2,016 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.59
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
223341+50%8+22%9-17%18+55%20+0%16+22%9+0%7+33%12-11%28-8%38-21%47-22%36+35%34+0%9+56%25+13%52-25%69-24%67-27%45+29%34+0%12+42%19+35%37+31%51+11%44+18%39+13%16+0%6+45%11+16%19+11%18+20%15-10%102CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000