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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Rank #64 of 237

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150Tyler O'Neill
Tyler O'Neill · #60
V⁻ -24VORP 6V⁺ 30
Tyler O'Neill

Tyler O'Neill

OF·BAL
Compare
Compare
PA
193
H
36
HR
6
AVG
.209
xwOBA
.297
PPG
1.06
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj73316.231.319.429.198.33327.2%10.5%16.7%1431532.10—
202664193.209
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

193 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
14
.297
xBA
2
.206
.295
.360
.151
.297
28.5%
9.8%
18.7%
6
1
68
1.06
—
202557209.199.296.392.193.36324.4%10.5%13.9%94991.74—
2024117474.240.337.510.270.34533.5%11.2%22.3%3142612.23—
202373266.231.312.403.172.33525.2%10.5%14.7%951091.49—
2022103383.228.314.392.164.33226.9%9.9%17.0%14142082.02—
2021143537.286.355.560.274.38731.3%7.1%24.2%34183392.37—
202048157.173.263.360.187.28627.4%9.6%17.8%73691.44—
201962151.262.311.411.149.27635.1%6.6%28.5%51590.95—
201855142.254.307.500.246.31540.1%4.9%35.2%91701.27—
xSLG
30
.378
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
59
89.9
Median EV
5
86.7
90th % EV
30
103.2
Barrel %
48
8.5
Hard-Hit %
56
43.6
Sweet-Spot %
46
35.9
Bat Speed
Avg
58
71.0
Median
33
70.5
90th %
17
73.7
Plate Discipline
Chase %
62
27.8
Whiff %
15
27.9
K %
11
28.5
BB %
58
9.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
124
≈ 99th pctl
Chase cost
-1.7r
29 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-0.8r
17 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
49.1%
165 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-1.55
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
11131+50%65+33%6234-67%6+0%10-50%8542+29%7+0%10-12%16-12%842+38%8+22%9+0%8523321CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 165