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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Tyler Stephenson

Tyler Stephenson

C·CIN
Compare
Compare
PA
516
H
118
HR
19
AVG
.258
xwOBA
.328
PPG
1.99
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202653195.207.306.337.130.32526.2%12.3%13.9%50611.15—
202590342.231
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
41
.328
xBA
30
.240
xSLG
.320
.421
.190
.315
33.9%
10.8%
23.1%
13
0
139
1.54
—
2024139516.258.339.443.185.32822.7%9.3%13.4%1912771.99—
2023140518.242.317.378.136.31626.1%9.1%17.0%1302091.49—
202257183.319.376.482.163.31725.7%6.6%19.1%611352.37—
2021137404.284.368.429.145.32718.6%10.1%8.5%1002261.65—
2020820.294.400.647.353.32245.0%10.0%35.0%20151.88—
40
.416
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
60
90.2
Median EV
59
92.9
90th % EV
41
104.3
Barrel %
50
9.1
Hard-Hit %
58
43.9
Sweet-Spot %
39
35.1
Bat Speed
Avg
25
68.7
Median
26
70.4
90th %
20
74.6
Plate Discipline
Chase %
77
23.7
Whiff %
56
21.1
K %
38
22.7
BB %
58
9.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
105
≈ 71th pctl
Chase cost
-29.1r
287 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-16.7r
297 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
43.3%
1,945 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.36
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
24+0%6355+9%11+27%15+52%21+11%27+55%22+46%134+16%19-12%33-25%51-23%47+0%39+38%26+0%6+19%21-9%57-41%69-23%73+0%38+67%18+13%8+20%25+5%37-2%55+26%42+10%30+14%7+0%7+10%20+0%9+25%12+10%1053CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000