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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Victor Robles

Victor Robles

OF·SEA
Compare
Compare
PA
296
H
78
HR
4
AVG
.306
xwOBA
.334
PPG
2.39
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
20261337.278.297.333.055.25616.2%2.7%13.5%02141.08—
202543114.245
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

296 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
49
.334
xBA
59
.255
.286
.330
.085
.236
22.8%
2.6%
20.2%
1
7
66
1.53
—
202485296.306.383.431.125.33417.9%7.1%10.8%4332032.39—
202341126.299.385.364.065.32414.3%8.7%5.6%08811.98—
2022127408.223.275.311.088.25125.5%4.2%21.3%6131301.02—
2021112370.203.310.294.091.29223.0%8.9%14.1%291331.19—
202054190.219.294.314.095.26127.9%4.7%23.2%35621.15—
2019171617.255.328.419.164.29522.7%5.7%17.0%17303562.08—
20182167.283.348.517.234.31917.9%6.0%11.9%33462.19—
20171327.250.308.458.208.24722.2%0.0%22.2%00120.92—
xSLG
27
.405
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
1
82.1
Median EV
2
88.0
90th % EV
13
101.9
Barrel %
21
6.2
Hard-Hit %
6
28.6
Sweet-Spot %
56
36.2
Bat Speed
Avg
6
65.5
Median
8
67.8
90th %
7
72.5
Plate Discipline
Chase %
27
30.9
Whiff %
37
23.9
K %
69
17.9
BB %
28
7.1
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
110
≈ 84th pctl
Chase cost
-17.0r
198 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-5.2r
101 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
53.5%
1,008 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.21
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
45+0%8+0%6232+33%9+29%17-5%20+6%33+50%14+28%182+30%20-7%41-25%56-13%67-7%42+42%19+17%6+54%35+9%46-12%68-18%62-5%39+36%25+0%7+56%27+54%41+50%38+15%33+18%22+29%73+8%13+27%15+17%125+0%931CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000