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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. OF peers

Each bar is one OF, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺.

-500+50+100+150+200
Will Brennan

Will Brennan

OF·SFG
Compare
Compare
PA
23
H
2
HR
0
AVG
.087
xwOBA
.178
PPG
-0.09
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj418.244.287.321.077.27314.3%5.4%8.9%0081.93—
20261123.087
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

23 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
0
.178
xBA
0
.167
.087
.087
.000
.178
13.0%
0.0%
13.0%
0
0
-1
-0.09
—
2025813.091.231.091.000.1987.7%7.7%0.0%0020.25—
2024123354.263.309.387.124.30813.6%5.4%8.2%851901.54—
2023140456.266.300.356.090.30912.5%3.5%9.0%5142191.56—
20221845.357.400.500.143.3378.9%4.4%4.5%12392.17—
xSLG
0
.228
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
1
82.9
Median EV
0
74.8
90th % EV
1
94.6
Barrel %
0
0.0
Hard-Hit %
3
25.0
Sweet-Spot %
0
20.0
Bat Speed
Avg
12
67.1
Median
4
66.1
90th %
8
71.8
Plate Discipline
Chase %
0
53.8
Whiff %
100
6.1
K %
86
13.0
BB %
0
0.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
104
≈ 64th pctl
Chase cost
-0.6r
8 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-0.1r
2 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
71.4%
28 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.38
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
11312111+0%714212CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 28