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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Will Brennan

Will Brennan

OF·SFG
Compare
Compare
PA
354
H
87
HR
8
AVG
.263
xwOBA
.308
PPG
1.54
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
20261123.087.087.087.000.17813.0%0.0%13.0%00-1-0.09—
2025813.091
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

354 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
13
.308
xBA
73
.264
.231
.091
.000
.198
7.7%
7.7%
0.0%
0
0
2
0.25
—
2024123354.263.309.387.124.30813.6%5.4%8.2%851901.54—
2023140456.266.300.356.090.30912.5%3.5%9.0%5142191.56—
20221845.357.400.500.143.3378.9%4.4%4.5%12392.17—
xSLG
14
.380
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
6
85.7
Median EV
2
88.0
90th % EV
13
101.9
Barrel %
12
4.6
Hard-Hit %
10
32.5
Sweet-Spot %
26
33.6
Bat Speed
Avg
13
67.1
Median
13
68.6
90th %
10
72.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
15
33.7
Whiff %
83
15.9
K %
93
13.6
BB %
9
5.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
103
≈ 61th pctl
Chase cost
-23.6r
264 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-6.8r
139 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
54.7%
1,245 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.44
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
2+50%6+0%8+12%17+17%12+0%63+30%10+58%26+20%40+9%57-4%23+28%18+0%11+52%25+9%55-32%59-20%83+0%46+40%30+23%13+48%21+17%47-26%61-9%58-3%37+52%21+17%12+43%7+53%15+31%26+23%22+40%10+22%911+17%623211CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000