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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Will Smith

Will Smith

C·LAD
Compare
Compare
PA
554
H
121
HR
19
AVG
.261
xwOBA
.351
PPG
2.78
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202652201.249.343.382.133.38516.9%11.4%5.5%601031.98—
2025128429.292
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
69
.351
xBA
44
.254
xSLG
.399
.492
.200
.375
20.7%
13.8%
6.9%
17
2
324
2.53
—
2024148547.246.330.430.184.34219.2%9.3%9.9%2023572.41—
2023133554.261.367.438.177.35116.1%11.4%4.7%1943702.78—
2022151578.260.345.465.205.36116.6%9.7%6.9%2413882.57—
2021147501.258.373.495.237.36620.2%11.6%8.6%2533872.63—
202055137.289.404.579.290.40716.1%14.6%1.5%801432.60—
201960196.253.342.571.318.32326.5%9.2%17.3%1521392.32—
45
.435
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
42
89.3
Median EV
46
92.0
90th % EV
19
103.5
Barrel %
28
6.7
Hard-Hit %
46
41.6
Sweet-Spot %
82
38.8
Bat Speed
Avg
11
66.9
Median
10
68.0
90th %
12
73.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
71
25.1
Whiff %
77
17.2
K %
79
16.1
BB %
81
11.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
107
≈ 76th pctl
Chase cost
-38.0r
383 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-15.8r
321 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
46.0%
2,359 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.28
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
435542+50%10+57%7+25%24+48%21+47%17+40%104+61%18+6%31-20%71-23%53-5%38+39%18+0%10+41%27+8%52-35%65-31%78-19%52+42%26-17%6+16%25+27%41+2%45+10%51+27%26+21%194+0%10+0%14+8%12+0%7142CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000