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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Will Smith

Will Smith

C·LAD
Compare
Compare
PA
429
H
105
HR
17
AVG
.292
xwOBA
.375
PPG
2.53
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202652201.249.343.382.133.38516.9%11.4%5.5%601031.98—
2025128429.292
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

429 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
90
.375
xBA
73
.266
.399
.492
.200
.375
20.7%
13.8%
6.9%
17
2
324
2.53
—
2024148547.246.330.430.184.34219.2%9.3%9.9%2023572.41—
2023133554.261.367.438.177.35116.1%11.4%4.7%1943702.78—
2022151578.260.345.465.205.36116.6%9.7%6.9%2413882.57—
2021147501.258.373.495.237.36620.2%11.6%8.6%2533872.63—
202055137.289.404.579.290.40716.1%14.6%1.5%801432.60—
201960196.253.342.571.318.32326.5%9.2%17.3%1521392.32—
xSLG
83
.493
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
77
91.4
Median EV
56
93.5
90th % EV
50
105.6
Barrel %
72
12.4
Hard-Hit %
70
47.4
Sweet-Spot %
99
43.1
Bat Speed
Avg
15
67.7
Median
13
69.1
90th %
12
73.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
95
19.6
Whiff %
70
19.6
K %
48
20.7
BB %
93
13.8
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
109
≈ 81th pctl
Chase cost
-24.6r
233 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-17.5r
357 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
39.0%
1,903 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.21
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
11341312+18%11+23%13+25%24+36%14+17%124+29%21-17%30-33%48-25%67-35%34+32%38+25%12+30%27+9%45-43%74-38%81-37%43+30%23+29%7+15%27+8%49-4%50-3%38-11%28+14%14+0%10+0%10+0%13+0%11+0%10+11%92CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000