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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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William Contreras

William Contreras

C·MIL
Compare
Compare
PA
679
H
167
HR
23
AVG
.281
xwOBA
.363
PPG
2.61
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202663278.285.350.402.117.33913.3%8.6%4.7%611702.70—
2025161660.259
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
83
.363
xBA
75
.266
xSLG
.358
.399
.140
.335
18.2%
12.7%
5.5%
17
6
392
2.43
—
2024162679.281.367.466.185.36320.5%11.5%9.0%2394232.61—
2023148611.289.368.457.168.33720.6%10.3%10.3%1763782.55—
2022112376.278.356.506.228.34827.7%10.4%17.3%2022111.88—
202162185.215.304.399.184.32329.2%10.3%18.9%80901.45—
2020410.400.400.500.100.33940.0%0.0%40.0%0010.25—
79
.477
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
90
92.8
Median EV
86
94.9
90th % EV
87
108.5
Barrel %
59
10.0
Hard-Hit %
86
49.5
Sweet-Spot %
4
30.1
Bat Speed
Avg
80
72.7
Median
85
74.5
90th %
86
79.7
Plate Discipline
Chase %
65
25.6
Whiff %
29
25.9
K %
52
20.5
BB %
90
11.5
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
103
≈ 61th pctl
Chase cost
-48.5r
445 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-16.9r
310 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
47.4%
2,677 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.44
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
+33%6+11%95+11%951+38%8+18%17-12%24+52%21+39%23+0%12+17%12+32%19+7%28-25%53-16%55-4%47+44%25+8%13+36%25+13%61-30%73-29%62-17%41+25%205+33%18+31%45+13%39+9%33-11%19+38%135+0%10+6%18+7%14+17%12+0%632CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000