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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Willy Adames

Willy Adames

SS·SFG
Compare
Compare
PA
640
H
120
HR
24
AVG
.216
xwOBA
.335
PPG
1.93
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202667283.238.284.438.200.29727.9%5.7%22.2%1111171.75—
2025163687.225
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
46
.335
xBA
14
.233
xSLG
.322
.421
.196
.330
26.1%
11.6%
14.5%
30
12
350
2.15
—
2024168691.250.331.460.210.34425.0%10.7%14.3%32224412.63—
2023157640.216.312.405.189.33525.8%11.1%14.7%2453031.93—
2022151617.238.300.458.220.33126.9%7.9%19.0%3183452.28—
2021149556.261.337.480.219.32528.1%10.3%17.8%2553212.15—
202073205.259.332.481.222.30736.1%9.8%26.3%83981.34—
2019159585.254.317.417.163.32226.2%7.9%18.3%2042561.61—
201885323.278.350.406.128.29029.4%9.6%19.8%1061371.61—
44
.433
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
12
87.4
Median EV
19
90.7
90th % EV
23
103.9
Barrel %
79
12.4
Hard-Hit %
20
36.5
Sweet-Spot %
51
36.5
Bat Speed
Avg
53
70.6
Median
59
72.0
90th %
54
76.8
Plate Discipline
Chase %
24
31.8
Whiff %
14
28.6
K %
16
25.8
BB %
80
11.1
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
96
≈ 33th pctl
Chase cost
-54.2r
514 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-16.7r
299 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
50.0%
2,633 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.69
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
25+29%7+17%6+43%7515+33%18+10%29+23%39+54%28+29%213+35%20+9%44-28%50-18%62-14%36+41%29+6%17+47%30+4%50-28%71-29%70-31%26+47%17+30%10+33%21+38%40+3%37+33%24+14%14+17%65+15%13+15%13+17%12+14%731CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000