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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Willy Adames

Willy Adames

SS·SFG
Compare
Compare
PA
691
H
153
HR
32
AVG
.250
xwOBA
.344
PPG
2.63
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202668291.232.279.426.194.29428.2%5.8%22.4%1111161.71—
2025163687.225
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
66
.344
xBA
22
.237
xSLG
.322
.421
.196
.330
26.1%
11.6%
14.5%
30
12
350
2.15
—
2024168691.250.331.460.210.34425.0%10.7%14.3%32224412.63—
2023157640.216.312.405.189.33525.8%11.1%14.7%2453031.93—
2022151617.238.300.458.220.33126.9%7.9%19.0%3183452.28—
2021149556.261.337.480.219.32528.1%10.3%17.8%2553212.15—
202073205.259.332.481.222.30736.1%9.8%26.3%83981.34—
2019159585.254.317.417.163.32226.2%7.9%18.3%2042561.61—
201885323.278.350.406.128.29029.4%9.6%19.8%1061371.61—
66
.462
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
35
88.6
Median EV
49
92.5
90th % EV
37
104.1
Barrel %
72
12.0
Hard-Hit %
41
40.7
Sweet-Spot %
77
38.4
Bat Speed
Avg
74
72.1
Median
74
73.2
90th %
68
77.9
Plate Discipline
Chase %
46
28.0
Whiff %
27
26.1
K %
25
25.0
BB %
73
10.7
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
98
≈ 42th pctl
Chase cost
-50.6r
469 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-20.1r
345 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
49.4%
2,731 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.59
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
51+22%93+14%7+33%63+0%9+24%17+32%19+35%34+36%25+30%104+36%11+3%37-15%59-10%69-5%38+38%40+24%17+46%24+10%51-37%59-28%58-26%47+41%22+10%10+36%25+41%37+24%45+17%41+13%8+0%73+29%7+29%21+21%14+25%8+0%71CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000