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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. SS peers

Rank #21 of 67

Each bar is one SS, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100Willy Adames
Willy Adames · #21
V⁻ -37VORP -1V⁺ 26
Willy Adames

Willy Adames

SS·SFG
Compare
Compare
PA
416
H
87
HR
18
AVG
.225
xwOBA
.291
PPG
1.73
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj99427.234.313.416.182.32525.4%10.0%15.4%1672022.05—
2026100416.225
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
9
.291
xBA
9
.219
xSLG
.277
.429
.204
.291
29.1%
6.5%
22.6%
18
2
173
1.73
—
2025163687.225.322.421.196.33026.1%11.6%14.5%30123502.15—
2024168691.250.331.460.210.34425.0%10.7%14.3%32224412.63—
2023157640.216.312.405.189.33525.8%11.1%14.7%2453031.93—
2022151617.238.300.458.220.33126.9%7.9%19.0%3183452.28—
2021149556.261.337.480.219.32528.1%10.3%17.8%2553212.15—
202073205.259.332.481.222.30736.1%9.8%26.3%83981.34—
2019159585.254.317.417.163.32226.2%7.9%18.3%2042561.61—
201885323.278.350.406.128.29029.4%9.6%19.8%1061371.61—
36
.392
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
26
88.0
Median EV
24
90.0
90th % EV
31
103.4
Barrel %
50
9.4
Hard-Hit %
35
39.7
Sweet-Spot %
71
38.2
Bat Speed
Avg
48
70.5
Median
49
71.9
90th %
46
76.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
29
32.6
Whiff %
16
27.4
K %
9
29.1
BB %
15
6.5
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
105
≈ 69th pctl
Chase cost
-5.7r
52 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-2.8r
50 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
45.8%
367 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.33
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
1114114+14%7+50%8+0%9+33%9413-14%14-25%24-24%21-19%26+67%125+33%6-5%20-34%32-35%20-8%13+43%73+30%10+25%8+0%10+8%13+15%13+11%923+13%8+14%7223CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 367