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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Wilmer Flores

Wilmer Flores

1B·FA
Compare
Compare
PA
455
H
115
HR
23
AVG
.283
xwOBA
.336
PPG
2.31
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
2025130465.240.307.378.138.28218.9%7.3%11.6%1612271.75—
202474243.205
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

455 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
47
.336
xBA
43
.252
.282
.316
.111
.294
13.6%
8.2%
5.4%
4
0
116
1.57
—
2023130455.283.356.507.224.33613.8%9.0%4.8%2303002.31—
2022159602.229.319.394.165.31417.1%9.8%7.3%1903392.13—
2021150436.262.337.447.185.31512.8%9.4%3.4%1812781.85—
202057213.268.316.515.247.31116.9%6.1%10.8%1211442.53—
201994285.317.363.487.170.33110.9%5.3%5.6%901871.99—
2018130429.267.326.417.150.2979.8%6.8%3.0%1102602.00—
2017114362.271.312.488.217.31614.9%4.7%10.2%1812362.07—
2016111336.266.321.468.202.30414.3%6.8%7.5%1612151.94—
xSLG
51
.441
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
9
86.4
Median EV
9
89.4
90th % EV
10
101.9
Barrel %
40
7.8
Hard-Hit %
10
32.5
Sweet-Spot %
81
38.6
Bat Speed
Avg
6
65.9
Median
6
67.0
90th %
5
71.7
Plate Discipline
Chase %
43
28.4
Whiff %
90
15.2
K %
92
13.8
BB %
49
9.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
109
≈ 82th pctl
Chase cost
-27.6r
291 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-13.9r
298 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
45.0%
1,890 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.20
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
4+0%61231+29%7-8%12+30%23+21%28+41%17+23%135+44%16-8%37-22%64-33%52-5%43+55%20+13%8+48%23-2%54-37%76-35%68-20%50+40%20+14%7+12%26+11%35-6%51+0%44+25%20+50%6+0%10+7%15+0%11+17%12+10%10543CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000