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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Wilmer Flores

Wilmer Flores

1B·FA
Compare
Compare
PA
465
H
101
HR
16
AVG
.240
xwOBA
.282
PPG
1.75
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
2025130465.240.307.378.138.28218.9%7.3%11.6%1612271.75—
202474243.205
2025 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

465 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
0
.282
xBA
15
.233
.282
.316
.111
.294
13.6%
8.2%
5.4%
4
0
116
1.57
—
2023130455.283.356.507.224.33613.8%9.0%4.8%2303002.31—
2022159602.229.319.394.165.31417.1%9.8%7.3%1903392.13—
2021150436.262.337.447.185.31512.8%9.4%3.4%1812781.85—
202057213.268.316.515.247.31116.9%6.1%10.8%1211442.53—
201994285.317.363.487.170.33110.9%5.3%5.6%901871.99—
2018130429.267.326.417.150.2979.8%6.8%3.0%1102602.00—
2017114362.271.312.488.217.31614.9%4.7%10.2%1812362.07—
2016111336.266.321.468.202.30414.3%6.8%7.5%1612151.94—
xSLG
4
.345
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
7
85.9
Median EV
4
88.3
90th % EV
2
100.2
Barrel %
8
4.8
Hard-Hit %
3
26.9
Sweet-Spot %
60
36.8
Bat Speed
Avg
2
63.6
Median
2
65.1
90th %
2
70.0
Plate Discipline
Chase %
38
29.3
Whiff %
74
18.9
K %
64
18.9
BB %
34
7.3
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
102
≈ 59th pctl
Chase cost
-33.1r
313 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-14.3r
313 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
46.7%
1,939 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.44
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
3235331+29%7+42%12+12%24+39%28+27%15+38%83+65%20-10%30-30%74-32%56-19%42+60%20+17%6+38%29+6%34-36%80-29%86-17%42+41%29+13%8+17%23+12%34+2%45+15%47+8%25+33%945+31%13+14%7+8%12+0%631CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000