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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Wilyer Abreu

Wilyer Abreu

OF·BOS
Compare
Compare
PA
449
H
101
HR
15
AVG
.252
xwOBA
.324
PPG
1.66
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202666287.278.339.436.158.34519.5%8.4%11.1%841482.24—
2025118417.247
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

449 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
31
.324
xBA
9
.228
.320
.469
.222
.341
24.2%
9.6%
14.6%
22
6
243
2.06
—
2024138449.252.324.456.204.32427.8%8.9%18.9%1582291.66—
20232785.316.388.474.158.35727.1%10.6%16.5%23501.85—
xSLG
51
.434
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
81
91.6
Median EV
91
95.4
90th % EV
72
106.5
Barrel %
66
11.1
Hard-Hit %
90
50.5
Sweet-Spot %
31
34.4
Bat Speed
Avg
85
73.1
Median
82
74.2
90th %
77
78.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
46
28.0
Whiff %
27
26.2
K %
10
27.8
BB %
53
8.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
102
≈ 58th pctl
Chase cost
-35.5r
335 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-10.9r
221 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
48.2%
1,883 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.46
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
1+30%10+13%8+0%12+0%14+0%154+50%12+57%28+32%41+26%53+14%36+9%32+0%9+58%24+19%54-31%55-29%66-17%66+39%28+0%15+42%24+15%41-16%58-31%35-18%49+40%15+11%9+50%12+40%20+33%9+30%20+30%10+29%7+0%6+17%625321CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000