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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Xander Bogaerts

Xander Bogaerts

SS·SDP
Compare
Compare
PA
666
H
170
HR
19
AVG
.285
xwOBA
.317
PPG
2.44
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202663251.231.305.356.125.32018.3%9.2%9.1%891211.92—
2025143557.260
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
20
.317
xBA
40
.250
xSLG
.330
.387
.127
.330
16.9%
8.6%
8.3%
11
21
298
2.08
—
2024120463.264.311.381.117.30817.1%6.0%11.1%11132361.97—
2023159666.285.353.439.154.31716.5%8.4%8.1%19193882.44—
2022159631.307.381.456.149.32718.7%9.0%9.7%1583742.35—
2021163603.295.374.493.198.36118.7%10.3%8.4%2354322.65—
202057226.299.364.500.201.34418.1%9.3%8.8%1181572.75—
2019161700.308.386.554.246.35817.4%10.9%6.5%3345433.37—
2018153583.287.362.519.232.36617.5%9.4%8.1%2384492.93—
2017156637.272.343.401.129.29218.2%8.8%9.4%10153632.33—
22
.398
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
16
87.6
Median EV
15
90.0
90th % EV
17
103.3
Barrel %
22
6.1
Hard-Hit %
12
34.6
Sweet-Spot %
3
30.3
Bat Speed
Avg
23
68.7
Median
19
69.7
90th %
44
76.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
69
25.2
Whiff %
65
19.4
K %
74
16.5
BB %
43
8.4
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
100
≈ 50th pctl
Chase cost
-39.9r
385 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-27.1r
498 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
42.6%
2,644 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.53
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
224+0%9+33%6+17%6+0%7-8%12-4%24+14%14+36%33+22%18+33%6+33%18-24%38-52%67-37%57-26%46+25%24+14%7+34%32-9%56-39%76-40%68-24%41+75%16+22%9+15%20+19%37+9%35+6%34+12%25+36%113+9%11+17%12+15%13+44%931CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000