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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Xander Bogaerts

Xander Bogaerts

SS·SDP
Compare
Compare
PA
463
H
113
HR
11
AVG
.264
xwOBA
.308
PPG
1.97
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202664255.232.308.355.123.32218.0%9.4%8.6%891231.92—
2025143557.260
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

463 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
13
.308
xBA
67
.260
.330
.387
.127
.330
16.9%
8.6%
8.3%
11
21
298
2.08
—
2024120463.264.311.381.117.30817.1%6.0%11.1%11132361.97—
2023159666.285.353.439.154.31716.5%8.4%8.1%19193882.44—
2022159631.307.381.456.149.32718.7%9.0%9.7%1583742.35—
2021163603.295.374.493.198.36118.7%10.3%8.4%2354322.65—
202057226.299.364.500.201.34418.1%9.3%8.8%1181572.75—
2019161700.308.386.554.246.35817.4%10.9%6.5%3345433.37—
2018153583.287.362.519.232.36617.5%9.4%8.1%2384492.93—
2017156637.272.343.401.129.29218.2%8.8%9.4%10153632.33—
xSLG
19
.390
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
23
88.1
Median EV
12
90.0
90th % EV
22
102.9
Barrel %
13
5.1
Hard-Hit %
12
33.2
Sweet-Spot %
17
32.7
Bat Speed
Avg
25
68.7
Median
25
70.2
90th %
40
76.0
Plate Discipline
Chase %
65
25.7
Whiff %
82
16.6
K %
72
17.1
BB %
12
6.0
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
102
≈ 56th pctl
Chase cost
-26.4r
257 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-18.7r
345 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
44.1%
1,816 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.48
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
425+29%724+0%7+25%12+5%22+14%28+36%28+46%131+13%15-24%38-36%36-48%61-19%42+33%94+34%32-9%46-38%82-29%75-15%59+35%313+10%21+10%39+0%40+13%54-11%19+67%64+0%7+15%20+27%11+18%11451CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000