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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. RP peers

Rank #378 of 505

Each bar is one RP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100Yariel Rodríguez
Yariel Rodríguez · #60
V⁻ —VORP -58V⁺ —
Yariel Rodríguez

Yariel Rodríguez

RP·TOR
Compare
Compare
BF
45
K %
13.3%
BB %
15.6%
xwOBA
.401
PTS
-4
PPG
-0.40
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj32032.012033.994.0324.1%11.0%13.0%————591.85
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

45 BF — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Arsenal
FB Velo
81
95.7
FB Spin
84
2403
2026
10
0
9.3
0
1
0
1
7.71
7.17
13.3%
15.6%
-2.3%
.401
.345
52.3%
38.7%
-4
-0.40
202570175.7322153.334.7922.1%11.4%10.7%.321.22081.7%40.6%1932.76
2024222289.718004.324.2823.0%10.8%12.2%.312.27170.7%38.5%1175.32
Extension
30
6.29
Results
xwOBA
1
.401
Barrel %
4
12.9
Hard-Hit %
93
32.3
K %
1
13.3
BB %
0
15.6
Chase %
0
21.4
Whiff %
2
14.5
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
94
≈ 26th pctl
Stuff+
97
if they swing
Command+
112
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
95
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
7.1%
2 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.021
RV per pitch · league 0.042
-0.022 better than avg · 9 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
0.191
RV per pitch · league 0.029
+0.162 worse than avg · 1 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 28 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.