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    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
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    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
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    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
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    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
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  • Pitcher Frontier
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    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
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    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Hitting value vs. 3B peers

Rank #30 of 41

Each bar is one 3B, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100+150Yoán Moncada
Yoán Moncada · #30
V⁻ -15VORP -18V⁺ -1
Yoán Moncada

Yoán Moncada

3B·LAA
Compare
Compare
PA
130
H
21
HR
3
AVG
.189
xwOBA
.269
PPG
0.66
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
Proj43187.230.314.391.161.31728.4%10.1%18.4%61741.72—
202641130.189
2026 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

130 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
2
.269
xBA
0
.166
.308
.297
.108
.269
34.6%
13.1%
21.5%
3
1
27
0.66
—
202583289.234.338.448.214.32826.0%11.1%14.9%1201491.80—
20241545.275.356.400.125.31724.4%11.1%13.3%02151.00—
202393359.259.304.423.164.31529.8%5.6%24.2%1111431.54—
2022114435.211.273.351.140.29426.2%7.4%18.8%1221491.31—
2021156616.263.376.412.149.35425.5%13.6%11.9%1433101.99—
202057231.225.323.385.160.29031.2%12.1%19.1%61901.58—
2019137562.313.367.545.232.35927.4%7.1%20.3%25113612.64—
2018154653.234.314.398.164.29933.2%10.3%22.9%17132461.60—
201754231.231.338.412.181.32432.0%12.6%19.4%83961.78—
xSLG
0
.280
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
63
90.3
Median EV
44
92.2
90th % EV
30
103.3
Barrel %
38
7.6
Hard-Hit %
41
40.9
Sweet-Spot %
40
34.8
Bat Speed
Avg
51
70.4
Median
49
71.9
90th %
44
76.3
Plate Discipline
Chase %
93
21.1
Whiff %
22
27.0
K %
0
34.6
BB %
80
13.1
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
98
≈ 41th pctl
Chase cost
-5.0r
43 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-4.1r
67 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
36.2%
348 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.62
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
13+0%711+43%7+0%16-57%7+17%12+0%6+0%73+33%9-31%16-42%24-45%20-14%14+33%12+31%13+12%17-52%23-27%26-10%1012+13%8+29%7+0%10+0%8+11%94334311CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 348