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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Yordan Alvarez

Yordan Alvarez

OF·HOU
Compare
Compare
PA
496
H
120
HR
31
AVG
.293
xwOBA
.440
PPG
3.62
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202668293.311.430.639.328.50217.7%15.4%2.3%2212503.68—
202551199.273
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

496 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
98
.440
xBA
92
.291
.378
.430
.157
.404
16.6%
14.1%
2.5%
6
1
118
2.31
—
2024154635.308.395.567.259.42515.0%10.9%4.1%3564883.17—
2023129496.293.411.583.290.44018.5%13.9%4.6%3104673.62—
2022155562.306.411.611.305.46718.9%13.9%5.0%3715093.28—
2021166599.277.347.530.253.38824.2%8.3%15.9%3314542.73—
202029.250.333.625.375.35311.1%0.0%11.1%10115.50—
2019109369.313.414.655.342.41525.5%14.1%11.4%2703142.88—
xSLG
98
.630
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
94
93.1
Median EV
91
95.4
90th % EV
97
109.9
Barrel %
99
18.0
Hard-Hit %
93
52.2
Sweet-Spot %
73
37.9
Bat Speed
Avg
100
75.7
Median
97
76.7
90th %
97
81.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
63
26.1
Whiff %
58
20.5
K %
63
18.5
BB %
91
13.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
87
≈ 10th pctl
Chase cost
-46.4r
410 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-16.9r
278 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
44.1%
2,102 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-3.01
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
4+7%14+33%9+0%6+11%95+0%6+21%14+45%33+23%35+9%45+14%22+33%213+48%27+0%38-36%66-28%65-19%52+44%25+33%12+56%18+15%40-38%47-33%48-18%34+38%24+26%19+0%11+50%16+13%31+0%26+20%20+19%16+0%623+0%6+0%10451CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000