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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Yordan Alvarez

Yordan Alvarez

OF·HOU
Compare
Compare
PA
635
H
170
HR
35
AVG
.308
xwOBA
.425
PPG
3.17
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
202670305.321.436.659.338.50617.4%15.1%2.3%2412673.81—
202551199.273
2024 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

Expected Results
xwOBA
97
.425
xBA
96
.304
xSLG
.378
.430
.157
.404
16.6%
14.1%
2.5%
6
1
118
2.31
—
2024154635.308.395.567.259.42515.0%10.9%4.1%3564883.17—
2023129496.293.411.583.290.44018.5%13.9%4.6%3104673.62—
2022155562.306.411.611.305.46718.9%13.9%5.0%3715093.28—
2021166599.277.347.530.253.38824.2%8.3%15.9%3314542.73—
202029.250.333.625.375.35311.1%0.0%11.1%10115.50—
2019109369.313.414.655.342.41525.5%14.1%11.4%2703142.88—
97
.612
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
92
93.0
Median EV
86
94.9
90th % EV
94
109.6
Barrel %
90
14.5
Hard-Hit %
89
49.7
Sweet-Spot %
70
37.3
Bat Speed
Avg
98
75.4
Median
95
75.9
90th %
97
81.4
Plate Discipline
Chase %
29
30.6
Whiff %
73
18.7
K %
86
15.0
BB %
78
10.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
85
≈ 7th pctl
Chase cost
-52.2r
499 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-16.3r
283 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
47.8%
2,289 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.99
lg avg -2.53
Count
View
+0%7+22%9+29%17+0%13+0%14+0%92+73%11+67%24+25%44+33%39+21%33+31%13+0%7+55%20+8%40-29%56-17%59-8%51+30%30+24%17+38%16+5%37-36%44-32%57-26%38+56%39+33%12+31%13+20%15+18%17+0%23+30%30+24%17321+0%6522CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000