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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Yuli Gurriel

Yuli Gurriel

H·SDP
Compare
Compare
PA
330
H
73
HR
4
AVG
.244
xwOBA
.279
PPG
1.50
Career Seasons
YrGPAAVGOBPSLGISOxwOBAK%BB%K-BB%HRSBPtsPPGxPPG
20252140.111.200.139.028.19120.0%10.0%10.0%0080.38—
20242465.241
2023 MLB Percentiles

Hitting Profile

330 PA — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Expected Results
xwOBA
0
.279
xBA
14
.233
.349
.296
.055
.326
23.1%
13.8%
9.3%
0
1
35
1.46
—
2023105330.244.307.358.114.27913.3%7.9%5.4%441581.50—
2022165584.242.289.360.118.27712.5%5.1%7.4%8103382.05—
2021163605.319.391.462.143.32911.2%9.8%1.4%1534522.77—
202072230.232.280.384.152.31811.7%5.2%6.5%601351.88—
2019166612.298.347.541.243.32310.6%6.0%4.6%3165343.22—
2018144574.290.326.428.138.29011.0%4.0%7.0%1353762.61—
2017165565.298.335.485.187.32711.0%3.9%7.1%1834442.69—
201636137.262.294.385.123.2998.8%3.6%5.2%31732.03—
xSLG
1
.323
Quality of Contact
Avg EV
33
88.6
Median EV
17
90.4
90th % EV
14
102.5
Barrel %
3
1.9
Hard-Hit %
13
34.9
Sweet-Spot %
18
32.9
Bat Speed
Avg
32
69.4
Median
27
70.1
90th %
18
74.2
Plate Discipline
Chase %
31
30.7
Whiff %
91
14.6
K %
93
13.3
BB %
36
7.9
Swing Decisions

Plate Discipline · Decision+

Expected-run-value of every swing-or-take decision, against a league-average batter’s optimum. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Decision+
97
≈ 36th pctl
Chase cost
-22.7r
230 swings @ bad pitch
Passive cost
-9.8r
194 takes @ hittable pitch
Swing rate
47.1%
1,222 pitches seen
Runs per 100
-2.66
lg avg -2.54
Count
View
15+9%11+33%921+44%9+42%12+4%24+13%23+19%21+63%8+29%7+43%21-12%34-40%65-31%45-4%52+53%30+62%13+32%25-18%38-41%69-37%68+0%53+43%23+82%11+8%12+20%30+0%32+20%46+31%26+67%64+14%14+33%15+0%8+33%9+0%841CATCHER'S VIEW
Judgment — swing% vs optimal
−35%−15%0+15%+35%
  • Red cells — swings more than an optimal batter would here (chasing).
  • Blue cells — swings less than optimal (too passive).
  • Number in cell: swing%-delta vs optimal. Top-right: pitches seen.
Total pitches shown: 1,000