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    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
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    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
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    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
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    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
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    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
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    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. RP peers

Rank #452 of 506

Each bar is one RP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺. This player is highlighted in blue.

-500+50+100Zach Agnos
Zach Agnos · #60
V⁻ —VORP -87V⁺ —
Zach Agnos

Zach Agnos

RP·COL
Compare
Compare
BF
185
K %
15.1%
BB %
8.6%
xwOBA
.375
PTS
21
PPG
1.24
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj35350.012035.334.9017.2%9.1%8.1%————561.59
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

Arsenal
FB Velo
48
93.5
FB Spin
67
2329
Extension
2026
17
2
40.0
0
1
2
0
7.65
5.65
15.1%
8.6%
6.5%
.375
.305
54.7%
35.3%
21
1.24
202531032.313436.405.3913.9%11.7%2.2%.385.28058.1%40.2%381.23
19
6.12
Results
xwOBA
6
.375
Barrel %
11
11.5
Hard-Hit %
23
43.9
K %
8
15.1
BB %
39
8.6
Chase %
91
34.9
Whiff %
57
22.9
Command & Stuff

Pitching+

Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.

Pitching+
101
≈ 53th pctl
Stuff+
118
if they swing
Command+
102
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
105
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
7.5%
20 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.053
RV per pitch · league 0.042
+0.011 worse than avg · 76 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
-0.019
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.048 better than avg · 12 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 268 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
Pitch Arsenal
PitchUsageVeloSpinIVBHBExtWhiff%Zone%CSW%Chase%PutAway%xwOBA
CutterFC
23.4%92.62350+11.3-0.06.0629.4%44.4%29.6%53.3%25.0%0.461
4-Seam FastballFF
23.4%95.0

2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)

MLB Avg.
6"12"18"24"24"24"24"1B ◀ MOVES TOWARD ▶ 3B▲MORERISE▼MOREDROPARMANGLE40°100 PITCHSAMPLE
FCFFSLSTSIFSCU
Usage23%23%16%12%11%10%4%
MPH92.695.085.784.494.586.584.0
RHP Avg89.895.086.783.394.386.780.2
2398
+16.1
+8.5
6.11
12.5%
42.6%
18.5%
25.8%
4.5%
0.337
SliderSL
16.5%85.72236-2.3-1.76.0742.9%28.9%34.2%48.1%23.1%0.152
SweeperST
11.7%84.42398-1.7-12.05.9450.0%48.1%44.4%28.6%33.3%0.220
SinkerSI
11.3%94.52309+10.1+14.26.080.0%61.5%7.7%40.0%0.0%0.376
Split-FingerFS
10.0%86.51482+0.8+11.56.1463.6%4.3%34.8%50.0%30.0%0.168
CurveballCU
3.9%84.02479-2.5-14.76.08100.0%11.1%33.3%25.0%20.0%0.000

2026 Swing-Out Snapshot

Commit at the decision point, then fast-forward 150ms. Where is each pitch when your bat crosses the zone? Two views of the same moment — catcher-facing and from the side.

Catcher View
horizontal × vertical
0.5′1′1.5′2′2.5′3′DECISIONPOINTFF · 16″FC · 20″SI · 19″ST · 25″FS · 23″CU · 27″SL · 26″arm side ◀ ▶ glove sidedrops ◀ ▶ rises
Side View
depth × vertical
1′2′3′4′5′6′-3′0′5′10′15′20′23′FF · 25″FC · 30″SI · 27″ST · 52″FS · 45″CU · 54″SL · 48″DECISION POINTPLATEfeet to plate
swing time150 ms

Each pitch is launched from a shared decision point (4.20′ height) and advanced using its own Statcast kinematics (release velocity + constant acceleration, so gravity, drag, and Magnus are all in the curve). RHP.

2026 Tunneling

Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.

At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
FCFFSLSTSIFSCU-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FCFFSLSTSIFSCU-2′-1′0′1′2′1′2′3′4′1B ◀ catcher view ▶ 3B
FCFFSLSTSIFSCU

Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.