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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. SP peers

Each bar is one SP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺.

0+50+100+150
Zach McKinstry

Zach McKinstry

2B / 3B / SS / OF·DET
Compare
Compare
BF
8
K %
0.0%
BB %
37.5%
xwOBA
.431
PTS
-6
PPG
-6.00
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
2026101.0000018.0012.100.0%37.5%-37.5%.431.40060.0%40.0%-6-6.00
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

8 BF — below qualified cutoff. Percentiles vs. qualified pool (faded).

Arsenal
FB Velo
0
—
FB Spin
0
—
2025
1
0
0.3
0
0
0
0
0.00
3.10
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
.044
.000
—
100.0%
1
1.00
2024302.000009.0011.100.0%12.5%-12.5%.367.0000.0%28.6%00.00
2023101.0000018.0016.100.0%0.0%0.0%.591.40062.5%50.0%-4-4.00
Extension
0
3.66
Results
xwOBA
0
.431
Barrel %
100
0.0
Hard-Hit %
44
40.0
K %
0
0.0
BB %
0
37.5
Chase %
0
19.0
Whiff %
1
12.5