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  • Projections
    In-house Bayesian model · career prior + aging × stuff/discipline signals
  • Plate Discipline
    Decision+ · chase / passive cost · K% · BB%
  • Command & Stuff
    Pitching+ · Stuff+ · Command+ · meatball rate
  • Pitcher Stuff Lab
    In-zone whiff · xwOBAcon · tunnel · deception · count predictability
  • Stuff Model (diag)
    From-scratch XGBoost training runs, feature importance, pitcher grades
  • Expected Points
    Luck-neutral fantasy points · xSLG / xwOBA · ΔPts
  • Hitter Frontier
    Power × discipline tradeoff · Pareto-frontier hitters
  • Pitcher Frontier
    Process × contact-suppression · pound the zone vs limit damage
  • Hitter Vulnerabilities
    Biggest pitch-trait strengths & weaknesses · vs league or vs own
  • AAA Hitters
    Triple-A bats · xwOBA · contact quality · discipline · frontier
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Position cohort

Pitching value vs. SP peers

Each bar is one SP, ordered left-to-right by Value (blended). Center dot is VORP; whiskers span V⁻ → V⁺.

0+50+100+150
Zack Greinke

Zack Greinke

P·FA
Compare
Compare
Career Seasons
YrGGSIPWLSVHLDERAFIPK%BB%K-BB%xwOBABABIPLOB%GB%PtsPPG
Proj001.000004.634.4615.1%5.1%10.0%————14.99
20233128147.7315005.004.4716.3%3.9%12.4%.344.30068.4%43.7%1354.35
20222828143.7590
2026 MLB Percentiles

Pitching Profile

No MLB Statcast pitching rows for 2026.

0
3.70
4.05
12.5%
4.6%
7.9%
.341
.305
72.7%
41.5%
176
6.29
20213533186.0117014.114.5917.2%5.2%12.0%.322.26775.0%45.6%3219.17
2020151581.743004.083.1524.5%3.3%21.2%.299.30670.0%42.9%16210.80
20193838233.7187003.123.3723.1%3.7%19.4%.282.27276.6%46.3%56714.92
20183434213.71611003.123.5923.6%5.1%18.5%.305.26680.3%45.5%49614.59
20173736221.0188003.463.4326.8%5.6%21.2%.289.28774.2%47.9%52514.19
20162626158.7137004.374.0720.1%6.1%14.0%.319.29471.8%47.0%28911.12
20153737246.0215001.792.7923.6%4.7%18.9%.257.23785.6%49.2%74220.05