Lance McCullers Jr.
P · HOU
MLBAM 621121
Seasons
| Yr | BF | K% | BB% | xwOBA | Pts | PPG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 61 | 27.9% | 9.8% | 0.333 | 37 | 9.25 |
| 2025 | 274 | 22.3% | 14.2% | 0.355 | 32 | 2.00 |
| 2022 | 196 | 25.5% | 11.2% | 0.299 | 139 | 12.64 |
| 2021 | 685 | 27.0% | 11.1% | 0.285 | 432 | 14.40 |
| 2020 | 228 | 24.6% | 8.8% | 0.326 | 152 | 10.13 |
| 2018 | 528 | 26.9% | 9.5% | 0.301 | 330 | 10.31 |
| 2017 | 514 | 25.7% | 7.8% | 0.292 | 290 | 10.00 |
| 2016 | 352 | 30.1% | 12.8% | 0.291 | 171 | 12.21 |
| 2015 | 520 | 24.8% | 8.3% | 0.304 | 278 | 11.58 |
2026 MLB Percentile Rankings
Arsenal
FB Velocity
9
90.6
FB Spin
29
2196
Extension
15
6.06
Results
xwOBA
42
0.333
Barrel %
28
10.5
Hard-Hit %
3
55.3
K %
82
27.9
BB %
37
9.8
Chase %
50
29.7
Whiff %
41
22.1
Command & Stuff
Pitching+
Expected run-value conceded per pitch against a rational hitter, standardized against the season. 100 = avg · 110 = 1 SD better.
Pitching+
97
≈ 37th pctl
Stuff+
115
if they swing
Command+
82
out-of-zone take RV
Strike quality+
116
RV of in-zone pitches
Crushable pitches
8.7%
22 meatballs
Putaway counts (0-2, 1-2)
0.056
RV per pitch · league 0.042
+0.014 worse than avg · 71 pitches
Lower RV = more wasted whiff chances when they choose not to put hitters away.
Hitter's counts (3-0, 3-1, 2-0)
-0.004
RV per pitch · league 0.029
-0.034 better than avg · 16 pitches
How often they groove get-me-overs vs. nibble safely.
Based on 254 pitches. RV = Statcast delta_run_exp; lower = better for the pitcher.
2026 Movement Profile (Induced Break)
MLB Avg.
| FC | SI | KC | ST | CH | FF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Usage | 31% | 29% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 4% |
| MPH | 89.4 | 91.7 | 81.2 | 82.8 | 85.6 | 92.4 |
| RHP Avg | 89.8 | 94.3 | 83.0 | 83.3 | 86.9 | 95.0 |
2026 Tunneling
Where pitches are when the hitter commits — and where they end up. Tighter cluster on the left = more deceptive arsenal.
At Decision
23 ft out · ~280ms before arrival
At the Plate
Where they actually cross
FCSIKCSTCHFF
Decision point computed from Statcast kinematics (vx0/vy0/vz0, ax/ay/az) by projecting each pitch back to y = 23 ft. Coordinates in catcher’s view: 1B on the left, 3B on the right. RHP.
2026 Divergence from a Shared Origin
Every pitch type launched from the same decision-point — how far apart they end up by the plate. Bigger fan = harder arsenal to square up.
Distances from origin (in inches) show how far each pitch type separates itself from the common launch point by plate arrival. RHP.